How nice II

[LAKE]

Very good news.

[Cagliostro]

Historicaly speaking, the incumbent has the advantage too of capturing votes not counted in pre-election polls. People will vote for the name they know when they are undecided. If Kerry expects to unseat President Bush he would have needed a very strong lead in the polls this late, and he doesn't. [img]biggrin.gif[/img]

[Sluggo]

Or then again----it might be a month before we know. Like last time. "THEY" may even rig the election.

[Cagliostro]

[img]graemlins/shhh.gif[/img]

[reason]

Originally posted by LAKE:
Very good news.

<font size="2" face="Verdana, Helvetica, sans-serif">I thought you were a Bush supporter.

The map shows Kerry leading. More importantly, many of the close Kerry states were close Bush states a couple weeks ago, including PA, OH, NV, and WI.

So the map shows the trend going toward Kerry.

This looks to be good news for Kerry.

<font color="#000002" size="1">[ October 12, 2004 02:59 PM: Message edited by: reason ]</font>

[gae]

Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:
Kerry 260 Bush 274

Did math get changed on me again? 274 is more than 260.

[reason]

I should also point out that Lake's map shows Nader with 1% in Ohio. Nader is not on the ballot.

A miniscule amount, but general consensus says those votes mostly go to Kerry.

[travelinman]

Originally posted by gae:
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004:
Kerry 260 Bush 274

Did math get changed on me again? 274 is more than 260.

<font size="2" face="Verdana, Helvetica, sans-serif">Not in a liberal's mind.

[jumper69]

There are enough "very weak Kerry" and "very weak Bush" electoral votes up for grabs that I wouldn't be going around claiming good news just yet Lake. [img]graemlins/whatever.gif[/img]

There are about 104 electoral votes still up for grabs Source so it's still anybody's race.

[Cagliostro]

Even if I weren't a Bush supporter, if I were a betting man (and I am) my bet goes for a Bush victory. The Democrats simply made the choice too easy for a lot of people. I think most votes for Kerry are simply a vote against Bush and a lot of Bush votes are simply "well he's better than the other one.." We aren't very spoiled for choice this election. And I say that even as a Bush supporter. Aren't there any FDRs or Ronald Reagans left out there? [img]graemlins/wonder.gif[/img]